It is one thing to say that the MOD wants to have a ‘more strategic relationship with industry and build a more sustainable industrial base’ but another to displace old habits. The desire for ‘case-by-case’ decision-making is culturally ingrained – as is blaming suppliers when things go wrong. There is also a fear in some quarters that the ‘more nuanced approach’ will be a cover for protectionism.
And it’s worth recalling that the previous policy positions persisted – although increasingly discordant with the reality both of the changing industrial landscape and of the practice followed in a number of individual major procurements – largely because of the chronic pressure on resources. The Government says that, through the Integrated Review, ‘we will, for the first time in decades, match genuine money to credible ambitions.’ The defence budget uplift was an agreeable surprise for most external commentators – and, in principle, a balanced programme is the basis for better decision-making across the piece. But how long will it last? The twin perils of cost growth and requirement creep remain. In the meantime, the UK’s air and space sectors should benefit from a longer-term approach which takes more account of the wider economic and social contributions – not least skills development – from defence expenditure. In short, DSIS provides the conceptual framework for a more rational and pragmatic approach to defence acquisition – and thereby should help enhance significantly the resilience of our overall defence capability which is crucial for credible deterrence in an increasingly turbulent world.
Peter Watkins is a visiting professor in the Department of War Studies at King’s College London. He was formerly the Director General Strategy & International (2017-18) and Director General Security Policy (2014-17) in the UK Ministry of Defence (MOD).
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